FINAL TEST
BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION ANALYSIS
MULTIVARIANT Z SCORE
FINAL TEST
BY:
DHARMA DEYAUDDIN
3B-D4
ACCOUNTING DEPARTMENT
POLITEKNIK NEGERI UJUNG PANDANG
MAKASSAR
2013
• WHAT
IS FINANCIAL REPORT ANALYSIS?
Financial
Report analysis is a method that the user of financial report can use searching
the information about the company. With analyzing the financial statement, it
means we can assess the company’s performance, in company’s internal or
external
• The
Main Financial Aspects
Liquidity
Analysis
Solvability
Analysis
Profitability
Analysis
Cash
Flow Analysis
Bankruptcy
Prediction Analysis
Risk
Analysis
Investment
Analysis
• Bankruptcy
Prediction Analysis
Bankruptcy Prediction Analysis is An Analysis that
can help the company to anticipate the company’s possibility that will be
bankruptcy caused by financial problems
• Method
To Predict
• Model
Z-Score
Model Z-Score is one of the
multivariat models that develop by Edward Altman. This model was developed from
the research that has been conducted by Altman who choose to sample some
companies are bankrupt and healthy firms in the same size and industry.
• How
To Calculate the Prediction
X1
: net working capital to total assets
X2
:retained earnings to total assets
X3
:earnings before interest and taxes
to total assets
X4
: book value of equity to total equity
X5: sales to total assets
• FINANCIAL
REPORT
Balance
Sheets
Statement
of Income
Statement
of Changes in shareholder’s equity
Statement
of cash flow
Notes
to the consolidated financial statements
• The
Procedure of Analysis
X1
: 0,316
X2
: 0,129
X3
: 0,053
X4
: 0,445
X5
: 0,093
• The
Procedure of Analysis
• What
It Means
• The
Conclusion Is….
So,
from the calculation that we have done, the Bankruptcy prediction
for this company is “0,773” or include in Distress Area. It means if
this company do not fix their financial problem as soon as possible, this
company would be bankrupt in 3 years.
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